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Recent Changes in Epidemiology

00000000Two countries that exemplify the changes in epidemiology that have led to the current problem in the Americas illustrate what has happened in the region as a whole.Mexico eradicated Aedes aegypti in the 1960s and as a consequence had no dengue transmission during the 1960s and early 1970s and the first cases of dengue were subsequently reported from the southern state of Chiapas, in 1978. By the nest year, however, dengue transmission was reported in eight states, and over the nest sever years, outbreaks were reported in 24 states (Table 4). Moreover, Mexico evolved from a country of low endemicity with only a single dengue virus serotype (DEN-1) in 1978 to a hyperendemic area with three serotypes (DEN-1, -2 and -4) transmitted from 1983 to the present. The first cases of haemorrhagic disease associated with dengue in Mexico occurred in 1983 and were associated with a DEN-1 epidemic. In 1984, an outbreak of DEN-4 occurred in Merida, Yucatan, during which nine cases of haemorrhagic disease (four fatal) were

Table 3. Occurrence of dengue haemorrhagic fever
in the Americas, by year

Year
Country
Sporadic DHF-like disease reported
Laboratory confirmed
Epidemic DHF
Serotype*
Cases which meet WHO DHF case definition
1968
Curacao
YES
NO
NO
DEN-2?
NO
1975
Puerto Rico
YES
YES
NO
DEN-2
YES
1977
Jamaica
YES
YES
NO
DEN-1
NO
1981
Cuba
?
YES
YES
DEN-2
YES
1981
Surinam
YES
YES
NO
DEN-1, 4
YES
1983
Mexico
YES
YES
NO
DEN-1, 4, 2
?
1984
Mexico
Haiti
Dominican Republic
YES
YES
YES
YES
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
DEN-4, 1, 2
?
?
YES
?
?
1985
Aruba
Colombia
Nicarague
Puerto Rico
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
NO
YES
YES
NO
NO
NO
NO
DEN-1 ?
DEN-1, 2
DEN-1, 4, 2
NO
?
YES
YES
1986
Brazil Mexico
Puerto Rico
St. Lucia
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
NO
NO
NO
NO
DEN-1
DEN-4, 1, 2
DEN-4, 1, 2 ?
?
?
YES
YES
1987

Brazil
Dominican
Republic
El Salvador
Nicaragur
Prerto Rico

YES
NO
YES
YES
YES
YES
YES
NO
YES
NO
NO
NO
NO
DEN-1
DEN-4, 2, 1
DEN-4, 1, 2 ?
DEN-2, 4, 1
YES
YES
YES ?
YES

*Predominant virus serotype listed first.