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Recent Changes in Epidemiology
00000000Two countries
that exemplify the changes in epidemiology that have
led to the current problem in the Americas illustrate
what has happened in the region as a whole.Mexico eradicated
Aedes aegypti in the 1960s and as a consequence
had no dengue transmission during the 1960s and early
1970s and the first cases of dengue were subsequently
reported from the southern state of Chiapas, in 1978.
By the nest year, however, dengue transmission was reported
in eight states, and over the nest sever years, outbreaks
were reported in 24 states (Table 4). Moreover, Mexico
evolved from a country of low endemicity with only a
single dengue virus serotype (DEN-1) in 1978 to a hyperendemic
area with three serotypes (DEN-1, -2 and -4) transmitted
from 1983 to the present. The first cases of haemorrhagic
disease associated with dengue in Mexico occurred in
1983 and were associated with a DEN-1 epidemic. In 1984,
an outbreak of DEN-4 occurred in Merida, Yucatan, during
which nine cases of haemorrhagic disease (four fatal)
were
Table
3. Occurrence of dengue
haemorrhagic fever
in the Americas, by year
|
Year
|
Country
|
Sporadic DHF-like
disease reported
|
Laboratory confirmed
|
Epidemic DHF
|
Serotype*
|
Cases which meet
WHO DHF case definition
|
|
1968
|
Curacao
|
YES
|
NO
|
NO
|
DEN-2?
|
NO
|
|
1975
|
Puerto Rico
|
YES
|
YES
|
NO
|
DEN-2
|
YES
|
|
1977
|
Jamaica
|
YES
|
YES
|
NO
|
DEN-1
|
NO
|
|
1981
|
Cuba
|
?
|
YES
|
YES
|
DEN-2
|
YES
|
|
1981
|
Surinam
|
YES
|
YES
|
NO
|
DEN-1, 4
|
YES
|
|
1983
|
Mexico
|
YES
|
YES
|
NO
|
DEN-1, 4, 2
|
?
|
|
1984
|
Mexico
Haiti
Dominican Republic
|
YES
YES
YES
|
YES
NO
NO
|
NO
NO
NO
|
DEN-4, 1, 2
?
?
|
YES
?
?
|
|
1985
|
Aruba
Colombia
Nicarague
Puerto Rico
|
YES
YES
YES
YES
|
YES
NO
YES
YES
|
NO
NO
NO
NO
|
DEN-1 ?
DEN-1, 2
DEN-1, 4, 2
|
NO
?
YES
YES
|
|
1986
|
Brazil Mexico
Puerto Rico
St. Lucia
|
YES
YES
YES
YES
|
YES
YES
YES
YES
|
NO
NO
NO
NO
|
DEN-1
DEN-4, 1, 2
DEN-4, 1, 2 ?
|
?
?
YES
YES
|
| 1987 |
Brazil
Dominican
Republic
El Salvador
Nicaragur
Prerto Rico
|
YES
NO
YES
YES
YES
|
YES
YES
NO
YES
|
NO
NO
NO
NO
|
DEN-1
DEN-4, 2, 1
DEN-4, 1, 2 ?
DEN-2, 4, 1
|
YES
YES
YES ?
YES
|
*Predominant virus serotype
listed first.
 
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